Week 2 Stock Report: Purdy Was Nearly Perfect, Herbert Kept Fumbling, and the Vikings Are Quietly 2-0
Who impressed, who disappointed, and which of it is real. A 20-of-22 masterclass, a three-touchdown afternoon for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, six fumbles in Los Angeles, and a Lions team that just went from Super Bowl pick to 0-2.
By Nolan Gaffney · Founder, LeagueLocks · Sep 22, 2026 · 8 min read
Stock ReportTwo weeks is still a small sample, but it is exactly when the first real separations show up: the teams that looked good twice, the teams that failed the same way twice, and the box scores that will not repeat. Working from NBC's winners and losers and PFF's full recap sheet, here is the Week 2 stock report, with a real, spike, or mirage call on each.
Risers
Brock Purdy came about as close to a perfect afternoon as the position allows: 20 of 22 for 287 yards and two touchdowns plus a rushing score in a 35-13 dismantling of Miami. REAL. The offense barely blinked when Mike Evans left with a hip, and the two incompletions were the only blemish on the day.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught 9 balls for 155 yards and three touchdowns in Seattle's 31-7 road blowout of Arizona, with Drew Lock throwing all three. SPIKE, but the good kind: three scores will not repeat, while the target volume and the Seahawks' 2-0 start look sturdy.
The Vikings are 2-0 with two division wins and have not needed their offense to do it: Sunday's 9-3 win in Chicago had no touchdowns and did not need any, because Brian Flores' defense made 3 points stand up for most of the day. REAL on defense, incomplete on offense. Carson Wentz keeps winning games without losing them, which is all Minnesota is asking, and it is the same script our Week 1 recap flagged when Wentz relieved Kyler Murray and threw three touchdowns.
Cincinnati is the AFC North's only 2-0 team after a 20-6 road win in Houston built on four sacks, a 5-for-17 day on third down for the Texans, and a 7-catch, 75-yard, two-touchdown afternoon from Ja'Marr Chase. REAL. Winning on the road while holding an offense to 6 travels anywhere.
Deshaun Watson finally gave Cleveland a clean one: 24 of 30 for 238 yards, two touchdowns, and no picks through a two-hour weather delay to beat Tampa Bay 23-19 as an 8.5-point road underdog. MIRAGE until proven otherwise, but the Browns banked the win either way.
Carolina hung a 34-3 road wipeout on Atlanta, forcing turnovers in bunches, and Davante Adams reminded Monday night viewers of his ceiling with 195 yards and two touchdowns while Puka Nacua sat. Dalton Schultz quietly turned 14 targets into 12 catches for 140 yards in Houston's loss, the kind of usage line that matters more than the score around it.
Fallers
The Chargers are 0-2 and Sunday was the ugliest kind of loss: 26-14 at home to a Raiders team nobody trusted, with Justin Herbert fumbling three times and the offense putting six balls on the ground in total. Los Angeles closed as a 6.5-point favorite and lost outright. FADE the market's memory of last year until the ball security returns.
The Lions were a 5.5-point favorite in Buffalo and gave up 41 in a 41-31 loss, which makes them 0-2 with both losses as favorites. Full disclosure: our league bet Detroit minus 7 in Week 1 and paid for it, so we are done pretending the market's preseason Lions price was right. The offense is fine; the defense just gave up 41 in Buffalo and has not covered anyone yet.
Pittsburgh scored 3 points in a 20-3 road loss to New England in bad weather, Tennessee lost on a touchdown with 9 seconds left despite two rushing scores from Cam Ward, and Atlanta's quarterback room combined for three interceptions, one of them a pick-six on an undrafted rookie's first NFL throw, while Cooper Rush managed 86 passing yards on 17 attempts. Washington is 0-2 and now without Jayden Daniels, whose dislocated elbow we covered in the injury column. The Colts fell to 0-2 in the loudest way possible, scoring 30 in Kansas City and losing 33-30 in overtime anyway.
The two-week rule
Here is the filter we apply before letting any of this touch a league pick: a team that does the same thing twice has a trait, and a team that does two different things has a range. San Francisco, Cincinnati, Minnesota's defense, and the Chargers' ball security are traits now. One three-touchdown receiving day, one clean Watson start, and one Falcons faceplant against a turnover-hungry defense are still single data points. Traits are worth pricing into votes and bets. Ranges are worth watching for one more week, because as the waiver column says, one week of usage is a data point and two is a direction.
Play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Sources are linked where they're used in the article above. Stats and lines are as reported by the cited outlets at publish time. LeagueLocks is not affiliated with the NFL or any team.
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